Troy
W-L: (25- 9) PR = 95.3804Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Toledo MA (17-15, 93.9) 88-51 1106 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 9-22, 91.3) 95-50 1112 A Chattanooga SO (18-11, 93.6) 73-56 1118 H Kansas St B12 (18-18, 95.8) 59-81 1120 A Missouri SEC M (17-17, 95.6) **-82 1124 A Montana St BS (25- 8, 95.1) 74-60 1127 A TX Southern SWAC T ( 6-20, 91.0) **-74 1129 A Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 74-70 1203 A Longwood BSO (20- 9, 93.5) 86-83 1210 A OAKWD 1217 A Old Dominion SB (18-14, 94.5) 81-59 1221 H Alabama SEC A (24-11, 97.1) 59-77 101 A Louisiana SB ( 4-25, 92.2) 80-54 103 H So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 95-98 107 A TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 84-49 110 A Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 86-64 114 A LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 86-80 114 A LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 86-80 117 A TX St-SM SB (10-20, 93.0) 67-63 122 H Georgia So SB (23- 9, 95.3) 69-80 124 A Georgia St SB (10-22, 93.2) 96-69 128 A Marshall SB (24- 9, 95.1) 85-82 130 A Coastal Car SB (12-18, 93.6) 88-77 204 A App State SB ( 9-20, 93.3) 69-59 207 H Ball St MA (26- 7, 95.1) 86-87 212 A Louisiana SB ( 4-25, 92.2) 71-55 214 A LA-Monroe SB (16-17, 94.0) 82-80 218 A So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 84-73 221 A So Miss SB (16-16, 93.8) 97-80 224 A Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 61-54 227 H So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 69-76 308 A Arkansas St SB (25-10, 94.9) 83-73 309 H Jam Madison SB (26- 9, 95.6) 52-69 319 H Kansas B12 (22-14, 96.0) 70-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Toledo 88-51 37 1 0.58
1106 A Miss Val St 95-50 45 4 0.00
1112 A Chattanooga 73-56 17 2 0.26
1118 H Kansas St 59-81 -22 0 -1.62
1120 A Missouri **-82 18 0 + 2.26
1124 A Montana St 74-60 14 0 1.77
1127 A TX Southern **-74 29 4 0.00
1129 A Fl Gulf Co 74-70 4 2 0.43
1203 A Longwood 86-83 3 2 0.16
1217 A Old Dominion 81-59 22 1 1.11
1221 H Alabama 59-77 -18 -2 -0.26
101 A Louisiana 80-54 26 3 0.00
103 H So Miss 95-98 -3 2 - -3.63
107 A TX St-SM 84-49 35 2 0.00
110 A Arkansas St 86-64 22 0 1.56
114 A LA-Monroe 86-80 6 1 0.61
114 A LA-Monroe 86-80 6 1 0.61
117 A TX St-SM 67-63 4 2 0.00
122 H Georgia So 69-80 -11 0 - -2.13
124 A Georgia St 96-69 27 2 0.00
128 A Marshall 85-82 3 0 1.73
130 A Coastal Car 88-77 11 2 0.20
204 A App State 69-59 10 2 0.00
207 H Ball St 86-87 -1 0 -1.25
212 A Louisiana 71-55 16 3 0.00
214 A LA-Monroe 82-80 2 1 0.61
218 A So Alabama 84-73 11 2 0.31
221 A So Miss 97-80 17 2 0.39
224 A Arkansas St 61-54 7 0 1.56
227 H So Alabama 69-76 -7 2 - -3.71
308 A Arkansas St 83-73 10 0 1.56
309 H Jam Madison 52-69 -17 0 -1.74
319 H Kansas 70-79 -9 -1 -1.35
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 H So Miss 95-98 -3 2 - -3.63 122 H Georgia So 69-80 -11 0 - -2.13 227 H So Alabama 69-76 -7 2 - -3.71 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1120 A Missouri **-82 18 0 + 2.26 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Toledo (17-15, 93.9) 88-51 -5.95 5.01 0.01 0.92 9.23
3 A Miss Val St ( 9-22, 91.3) 95-50 -8.59 2.37 0.01 0.92 4.38
3 A Chattanooga (18-11, 93.6) 73-56 -6.27 4.69 0.01 0.92 8.64
3 H Kansas St (18-18, 95.8) 59-81 -4.13 6.84 -0.01 0.92 -1.90
3 A Missouri (17-17, 95.6) **-82 -4.27 6.69 0.01 0.92 12.32
3 A Montana St (25- 8, 95.1) 74-60 -4.76 6.20 0.01 0.92 11.43
3 A TX Southern ( 6-20, 91.0) **-74 -8.91 2.05 0.01 0.92 3.79
3 A Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 74-70 -6.10 4.86 0.01 0.92 8.96
3 A Longwood (20- 9, 93.5) 86-83 -6.37 4.59 0.01 0.92 8.46
3 A Old Dominion (18-14, 94.5) 81-59 -5.42 5.54 0.01 0.92 10.21
3 H Alabama (24-11, 97.1) 59-77 -2.77 8.19 -0.01 0.92 -1.28
3 A Louisiana ( 4-25, 92.2) 80-54 -7.72 3.24 0.01 0.92 5.98
3 H So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 95-98 -6.14 4.82 -0.01 0.92 -2.83
3 A TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 84-49 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.92 7.42
3 A Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 86-64 -4.97 5.99 0.01 0.92 11.04
3 A LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 86-80 -5.92 5.04 0.01 0.92 9.28
3 A LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 86-80 -5.92 5.04 0.01 0.92 9.28
3 A TX St-SM (10-20, 93.0) 67-63 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.92 7.42
3 H Georgia So (23- 9, 95.3) 69-80 -4.64 6.32 -0.01 0.92 -2.14
3 A Georgia St (10-22, 93.2) 96-69 -6.70 4.26 0.01 0.92 7.85
3 A Marshall (24- 9, 95.1) 85-82 -4.80 6.16 0.01 0.92 11.35
3 A Coastal Car (12-18, 93.6) 88-77 -6.33 4.63 0.01 0.92 8.53
3 A App State ( 9-20, 93.3) 69-59 -6.65 4.31 0.01 0.92 7.95
3 H Ball St (26- 7, 95.1) 86-87 -4.76 6.20 -0.01 0.92 -2.19
3 A Louisiana ( 4-25, 92.2) 71-55 -7.72 3.24 0.01 0.92 5.98
3 A LA-Monroe (16-17, 94.0) 82-80 -5.92 5.04 0.01 0.92 9.28
3 A So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 84-73 -6.22 4.74 0.01 0.92 8.74
3 A So Miss (16-16, 93.8) 97-80 -6.14 4.82 0.01 0.92 8.88
3 A Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 61-54 -4.97 5.99 0.01 0.92 11.04
3 H So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 69-76 -6.22 4.74 -0.01 0.92 -2.86
3 A Arkansas St (25-10, 94.9) 83-73 -4.97 5.99 0.01 0.92 11.04
3 H Jam Madison (26- 9, 95.6) 52-69 -4.25 6.71 -0.01 0.92 -1.96
3 H Kansas (22-14, 96.0) 70-79 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 0.92 -1.78
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201.52
|
winning pts = 218.4661 losing points = -16.9421
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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